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Coimbra U20 vs Boston City U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Winners Stage · Matchday 5 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 13:00

Coimbra U20

PPG 2.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Boston City U20

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.97 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-16.2%0-22.4%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.1%1-110.9%1-24.2%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.3%2-19.5%2-23.7%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.1%3-15.5%3-22.1%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.6%4+-13.6%4+-21.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.5% — — —

Draw 23.5% — — —

Away win 22.0% — — —

Over 2.5 52.5% — — —

Over 3.5 30.3% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 17.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 27%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob53.1%

H 55% / xG 1.7-0.8 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 1–0 14.1%

#3 2–0 12.3%

#4 0–0 8.1%

#5 2–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Coimbra U201.7

Boston City U200.8

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.5% · O3.5 PROB 30.3%

Form & verdict PPG

COIMBRA U20 · PPG 2.17

BOSTON CITY U20 · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.97 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Coimbra U20 (H) 54.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Boston City U20 (A) 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Coimbra U20 face Boston City U20 in Brazil - Mineiro U20 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Coimbra U20 a 55% chance, the draw 24% and Boston City U20 22%, so Coimbra U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Coimbra U20 and 0.8 for Boston City U20 (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Coimbra U20 are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 1.17 for Boston City U20.

Coimbra U20 vs Boston City U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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