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Sao Joao del Rei U20 vs Uberabinha U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Losers Stage · Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 18:00

Sao Joao del Rei U20

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Uberabinha U20

PPG 0.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.11 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-16.0%0-21.6%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-018.6%1-19.9%1-22.6%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.3%2-18.2%2-22.2%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.4%3-14.5%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-12.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.5% — — —

Draw 25.3% — — —

Away win 16.2% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 26.2% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 47.3% — — —

Away O1.5 16.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob44.6%

H 58% / xG 1.6-0.5 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.6%

#2 2–0 15.3%

#3 0–0 11.3%

#4 1–1 9.9%

#5 3–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sao Joao del Rei U201.6

Uberabinha U200.5

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 26.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SAO JOAO DEL REI U20 · PPG 1.17

UBERABINHA U20 · PPG 0.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.11 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sao Joao del Rei U20 (H) 58.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Uberabinha U20 (A) 16.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sao Joao del Rei U20 face Uberabinha U20 in Brazil - Mineiro U20 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sao Joao del Rei U20 a 59% chance, the draw 25% and Uberabinha U20 16%, so Sao Joao del Rei U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Sao Joao del Rei U20 and 0.5 for Uberabinha U20 (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sao Joao del Rei U20 are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.17 for Uberabinha U20.

Sao Joao del Rei U20 vs Uberabinha U20 Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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