Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 / Kvik Trondheim vs Aalesund II

Kvik Trondheim vs Aalesund II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Matchday 16 ·Monday, August 17, 2026, 16:30

Kvik Trondheim

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Aalesund II

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-13.3%0-22.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.6%1 1-05.3%1-17.7%1-25.5%1-32.7%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.2%2-19.0%2-26.5%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.9%3-17.0%3-25.1%3-32.4%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-17.1%4+-25.1%4+-32.5%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.0% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 27.3% — — —

Over 2.5 65.6% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.3%

H 51% / xG 2.3-1.4 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.0%

#2 1–1 7.7%

#3 3–1 7.0%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 2–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kvik Trondheim2.3

Aalesund II1.4

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KVIK TRONDHEIM · PPG 1.00

AALESUND II · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.90 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Kvik Trondheim (H) 51.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Aalesund II (A) 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kvik Trondheim face Aalesund II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Monday, August 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kvik Trondheim a 51% chance, the draw 22% and Aalesund II 27%, so Kvik Trondheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Kvik Trondheim and 1.4 for Aalesund II (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kvik Trondheim are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.88 for Aalesund II.

Kvik Trondheim vs Aalesund II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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