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Molde II vs Rosenborg II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Matchday 16 ·Monday, August 17, 2026, 13:00

Molde II

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rosenborg II

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-11.2%0-21.5%0-31.2%0-4+1.4%1 1-01.3%1-13.4%1-24.2%1-33.5%1-4+4.0%2 2-01.9%2-14.8%2-26.0%2-35.0%2-4+5.7%3 3-01.8%3-14.6%3-25.7%3-34.8%3-4+5.4%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-16.6%4+-28.3%4+-36.9%4+-4+7.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.1% — — —

Draw 18.7% — — —

Away win 34.2% — — —

Over 2.5 82.1% — — —

Over 3.5 64.7% — — —

BTTS 70.3% — — —

Home O1.5 79.1% — — —

Away O1.5 64.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob70.3%

H 47% / xG 2.9-2.5 / O2.5 82% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.0%

#2 3–2 5.7%

#3 2–3 5.0%

#4 2–1 4.8%

#5 3–3 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Molde II2.9

Rosenborg II2.5

COMBINED 5.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.1% · O3.5 PROB 64.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MOLDE II · PPG 1.71

ROSENBORG II · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.36 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Molde II (H) 47.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rosenborg II (A) 34.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Molde II face Rosenborg II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Monday, August 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Molde II a 47% chance, the draw 19% and Rosenborg II 34%, so Molde II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Molde II and 2.5 for Rosenborg II (5.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Molde II are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.14 for Rosenborg II.

Molde II vs Rosenborg II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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