Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 / Herd vs Ranheim II

Herd vs Ranheim II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 13:00

Herd logo
Herd
PPG 1.57 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Ranheim II logo
Ranheim II
PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-10.9%0-20.7%0-30.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-01.8%1-13.1%1-22.6%1-31.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-03.3%2-15.6%2-24.7%2-32.7%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.9%3-16.6%3-25.6%3-33.2%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-08.9%4+-115.0%4+-212.7%4+-37.1%4+-4+4.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 63.5%
Draw 15.6%
Away win 20.9%
Over 2.5 82.1%
Over 3.5 64.7%
BTTS 69.4%
Home O1.5 80.3%
Away O1.5 47.7%

League track record

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 63%
BTTS 57%
Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 74%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)3.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob69.4%

H 64% / xG 3.6-1.7 / O2.5 82% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 6.6%
#2 4–1 5.9%
#3 3–2 5.6%
#4 2–1 5.6%
#5 4–2 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Herd3.6
Ranheim II1.7

COMBINED 5.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.1% · O3.5 PROB 64.7%

Form & verdict PPG

HERD · PPG 1.57

RANHEIM II · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.89 for Home, form 1.57 vs 0.57 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Herd (H) 63.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 15.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Ranheim II (A) 20.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Herd face Ranheim II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Herd a 64% chance, the draw 16% and Ranheim II 21%, so Herd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.6 for Herd and 1.7 for Ranheim II (5.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Herd are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 0.57 for Ranheim II.

PredictVantage

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