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Sandefjord II vs Bjørkelangen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 13:00

Sandefjord II

PPG 1.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bjørkelangen

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-10.4%0-20.2%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-01.8%1-11.6%1-20.7%1-30.2%1-4+0.1%2 2-04.3%2-13.8%2-21.7%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.6%3-15.9%3-22.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-027.8%4+-124.9%4+-211.1%4+-33.3%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 79.9% — — —

Draw 12.3% — — —

Away win 7.8% — — —

Over 2.5 82.1% — — —

Over 3.5 64.7% — — —

BTTS 60.4% — — —

Home O1.5 80.3% — — —

Away O1.5 23.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 78%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob60.4%

H 80% / xG 4.6-0.9 / O2.5 82% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 7.6%

#2 5–0 7.1%

#3 4–1 6.8%

#4 3–0 6.6%

#5 5–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandefjord II4.6

Bjørkelangen0.9

COMBINED 5.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.1% · O3.5 PROB 64.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDEFJORD II · PPG 1.86

BJØRKELANGEN · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +3.74 for Home, form 1.86 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Sandefjord II (H) 79.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 12.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bjørkelangen (A) 7.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandefjord II face Bjørkelangen in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandefjord II a 80% chance, the draw 12% and Bjørkelangen 8%, so Sandefjord II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.6 for Sandefjord II and 0.9 for Bjørkelangen (5.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandefjord II are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 0.00 for Bjørkelangen.

Sandefjord II vs Bjørkelangen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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