Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 / Oppsal vs Elverum

Oppsal vs Elverum Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 12:00

Oppsal

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Elverum

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-16.7%0-25.0%0-32.5%0-4+1.3%1 1-07.3%1-110.8%1-28.0%1-34.0%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.9%2-18.7%2-26.5%2-33.2%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.1%3-14.7%3-23.5%3-31.7%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.7%4+-22.0%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.0% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 34.1% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.1% — — —

BTTS 61.6% — — —

Home O1.5 47.2% — — —

Away O1.5 46.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.6%

H 43% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 0–0 4.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Oppsal1.6

Elverum1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.1%

Form & verdict PPG

OPPSAL · PPG 1.62

ELVERUM · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.12 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Oppsal (H) 43.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Elverum (A) 34.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Oppsal face Elverum in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oppsal a 43% chance, the draw 23% and Elverum 34%, so Oppsal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Oppsal and 1.5 for Elverum (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oppsal are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.43 for Elverum.

Oppsal vs Elverum Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 Predictions