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Brumunddal vs Raelingen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 13:00

Brumunddal

PPG 0.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Raelingen

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-11.5%0-22.5%0-32.8%0-4+5.4%1 1-01.0%1-13.2%1-25.2%1-35.8%1-4+11.1%2 2-01.0%2-13.3%2-25.4%2-36.0%2-4+11.4%3 3-00.7%3-12.2%3-23.7%3-34.1%3-4+7.9%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.9%4+-23.1%4+-33.4%4+-4+6.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.3% — — —

Draw 16.5% — — —

Away win 57.2% — — —

Over 2.5 82.1% — — —

Over 3.5 64.7% — — —

BTTS 69.4% — — —

Home O1.5 59.8% — — —

Away O1.5 78.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 68%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)3.3 BTTS prob69.4%

A 57% / xG 2.1-3.3 / O2.5 82% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–3 6.0%

#2 1–3 5.8%

#3 2–2 5.4%

#4 1–2 5.2%

#5 2–4 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brumunddal2.1

Raelingen3.3

COMBINED 5.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.1% · O3.5 PROB 64.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BRUMUNDDAL · PPG 0.88

RAELINGEN · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.25 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Brumunddal (H) 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Raelingen (A) 57.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brumunddal face Raelingen in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brumunddal a 26% chance, the draw 17% and Raelingen 57%, so Raelingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Brumunddal and 3.3 for Raelingen (5.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-3. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brumunddal are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 0.86 for Raelingen.

Brumunddal vs Raelingen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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