Today / El-Salvador - Primera Division / Águila vs Cacahuatique

Águila vs Cacahuatique Prediction— El-Salvador - Primera Division

Apertura - 3 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 21:00

Águila logo
Águila
PPG 1.42 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Cacahuatique logo
Cacahuatique
PPG 1.51 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-17.0%0-24.9%0-32.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-08.0%1-111.2%1-27.8%1-33.6%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.4%2-18.9%2-26.2%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-03.4%3-14.7%3-23.3%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.7%4+-21.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 42.7%
Draw 28.2%
Away win 29.0%
Over 2.5 53.4%
Over 3.5 32.2%
BTTS 55.4%
Home O1.5 49.4%
Away O1.5 43.7%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.4%

H 43% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%
#2 2–1 8.9%
#3 1–2 7.8%
#4 0–0 5.0%
#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Águila1.6
Cacahuatique1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ÁGUILA · PPG 1.42

CACAHUATIQUE · PPG 1.51

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

xG gap +0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Águila (H) 42.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 28.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Cacahuatique (A) 29.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Águila face Cacahuatique in El-Salvador - Primera Division on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Águila a 43% chance, the draw 28% and Cacahuatique 29%, so Águila are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Águila and 1.4 for Cacahuatique (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Águila are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.51 for Cacahuatique.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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