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Fuerte San Francisco vs Inter Prediction— El-Salvador - Primera Division

Apertura - 3 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 21:00

Fuerte San Francisco

PPG 0.91 · HOME

UPCOMING

Inter

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-115.7%0-29.7%0-34.0%0-4+1.6%1 1-010.5%1-113.0%1-28.0%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-04.3%2-15.4%2-23.3%2-31.4%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.2%3-11.5%3-20.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.8% — — —

Draw 31.6% — — —

Away win 40.6% — — —

Over 2.5 37.3% — — —

Over 3.5 20.6% — — —

BTTS 48.3% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.3%

A 41% / xG 0.8-1.2 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 12.7%

#3 0–1 15.7%

#4 0–2 9.7%

#5 1–0 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fuerte San Francisco0.8

Inter1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

FUERTE SAN FRANCISCO · PPG 0.91

INTER · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.41, combined xG 2.06 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Fuerte San Francisco (H) 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Inter (A) 40.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fuerte San Francisco face Inter in El-Salvador - Primera Division on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fuerte San Francisco a 28% chance, the draw 32% and Inter 41%, so Inter are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.2 for Inter (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fuerte San Francisco are averaging 0.91 points per game versus 1.07 for Inter.

Fuerte San Francisco vs Inter Prediction— El-Salvador - Primera Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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