Today / El-Salvador - Primera Division / Inter vs Alianza

Inter vs Alianza Prediction— El-Salvador - Primera Division

Apertura · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 23:00

Inter

PPG 1.38 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Alianza

PPG 2.06 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-114.6%0-29.5%0-34.2%0-4+1.8%1 1-09.9%1-112.9%1-28.4%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-04.4%2-15.7%2-23.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.7%3 3-01.3%3-11.7%3-21.1%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.0% — — —

Draw 28.9% — — —

Away win 45.1% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.0% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 40.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 22%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob48.4%

A 45% / xG 0.9-1.3 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 11.2%

#3 0–1 14.6%

#4 0–2 9.5%

#5 1–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter0.9

Alianza1.3

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER · PPG 1.38

ALIANZA · PPG 2.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.42, combined xG 2.19 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Inter (H) 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Alianza (A) 45.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter face Alianza in El-Salvador - Primera Division on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter a 26% chance, the draw 29% and Alianza 45%, so Alianza are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Inter and 1.3 for Alianza (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 2.06 for Alianza. This match finished 2-0.

Inter vs Alianza Prediction— El-Salvador - Primera Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More El-Salvador - Primera Division Predictions