Today / El-Salvador - Primera Division / Municipal Limeño vs Inter

Municipal Limeño vs Inter Prediction— El-Salvador - Primera Division

Apertura · Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 01:00

Municipal Limeño

PPG 1.82 · HOME

UPCOMING

Inter

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-111.4%0-25.9%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.9%1-113.3%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.5%2-17.8%2-24.1%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.9%3-13.1%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.2%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.7% — — —

Draw 29.9% — — —

Away win 29.4% — — —

Over 2.5 42.7% — — —

Over 3.5 22.1% — — —

BTTS 48.0% — — —

Home O1.5 31.3% — — —

Away O1.5 32.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 22%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.0%

H 41% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 11.0%

#3 1–0 12.9%

#4 0–1 11.4%

#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Municipal Limeño1.2

Inter1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 22.1%

Form & verdict PPG

MUNICIPAL LIMEÑO · PPG 1.82

INTER · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.13, combined xG 2.21 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Municipal Limeño (H) 40.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Inter (A) 29.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Municipal Limeño face Inter in El-Salvador - Primera Division on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Municipal Limeño a 41% chance, the draw 30% and Inter 29%, so Municipal Limeño are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Municipal Limeño and 1.0 for Inter (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Municipal Limeño are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 1.06 for Inter.

Municipal Limeño vs Inter Prediction— El-Salvador - Primera Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More El-Salvador - Primera Division Predictions