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Skála vs Vikingur Gota Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 17:30

Skála

PPG 1.22 · HOME

UPCOMING

Vikingur Gota

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 63.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.4%0-113.8%0-210.0%0-34.9%0-4+2.5%1 1-08.5%1-112.4%1-29.1%1-34.4%1-4+2.2%2 2-03.8%2-15.6%2-24.1%2-32.0%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.2%3-11.7%3-21.2%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.8% 24.4% 4.10 +3.5%

Draw 26.8% 27.4% 3.65 -1.3%

Away win 47.3% 59.9% 1.67 -21.0%

Over 2.5 49.9% 63.3% 1.58 -21.2%

Over 3.5 28.7% 40.8% 2.45 -17.8%

BTTS 53.1% 63.3% 1.58 -16.1%

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% 63.3% 1.58 -32.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 82%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob53.1%

A 47% / xG 0.9-1.5 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–1 13.8%

#3 0–0 9.4%

#4 0–2 10.0%

#5 1–2 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skála0.9

Vikingur Gota1.5

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SKÁLA · PPG 1.22

VIKINGUR GOTA · PPG 1.67

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.56 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Skála (H) 25.8%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +3.5%

Draw 26.8%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -1.3%

Vikingur Gota (A) 47.3%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -21.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Skála face Vikingur Gota in FaroeIslands - Premier League on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skála a 26% chance, the draw 27% and Vikingur Gota 47%, so Vikingur Gota are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Skála and 1.5 for Vikingur Gota (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skála are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.67 for Vikingur Gota.

Skála vs Vikingur Gota Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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