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NSI Runavik vs EB / Streymur Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 14:00

NSI Runavik

PPG 2.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

EB / Streymur

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.42 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-13.9%0-21.5%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.2%1-18.7%1-23.4%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.3%2-19.6%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.0%3-17.0%3-22.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-08.3%4+-16.5%4+-22.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.0% 82.0% 1.22 -29.2%

Draw 20.9% 17.9% 5.60 +10.2%

Away win 21.1% 11.8% 8.50 +47.6%

Over 2.5 59.5% 74.6% 1.34 -20.3%

Over 3.5 36.5% 53.5% 1.87 -31.8%

BTTS 53.7% 58.5% 1.71 -8.2%

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 18.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 82%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob53.7%

H 58% / xG 2.2-0.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.3%

#2 1–1 8.7%

#3 1–0 11.2%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 3–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NSI Runavik2.2

EB / Streymur0.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

NSI RUNAVIK · PPG 2.78

EB / STREYMUR · PPG 1.25

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.42 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

NSI Runavik (H) 58.0%

ODDS 1.22 · IMPLIED 82.0% EV -29.2%

Draw 20.9%

ODDS 5.60 · IMPLIED 17.9% EV +10.2%

EB / Streymur (A) 21.1%

ODDS 8.50 · IMPLIED 11.8% EV +47.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

NSI Runavik face EB / Streymur in FaroeIslands - Premier League on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NSI Runavik a 58% chance, the draw 21% and EB / Streymur 21%, so NSI Runavik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for NSI Runavik and 0.8 for EB / Streymur (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NSI Runavik are averaging 2.78 points per game versus 1.25 for EB / Streymur.

NSI Runavik vs EB / Streymur Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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