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KI Klaksvik vs HB Torshavn Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Matchday 18 ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 17:30

KI Klaksvik

PPG 2.12 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

HB Torshavn

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.5% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-14.5%0-22.2%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.8%1-19.5%1-24.6%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.3%2-19.9%2-24.8%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.2%3-16.9%3-23.3%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-06.1%4+-15.9%4+-22.8%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.9% 65.4% 1.53 -17.5%

Draw 22.8% 23.8% 4.20 -2.5%

Away win 23.3% 21.1% 4.75 +6.4%

Over 2.5 59.5% 62.5% 1.60 -4.8%

Over 3.5 36.5% 40.0% 2.50 -8.8%

BTTS 54.5% 60.6% 1.65 -10.1%

Home O1.5 59.8% 66.7% 1.50 -10.3%

Away O1.5 26.3% 32.3% 3.10 -11.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 82%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.5%

H 54% / xG 2.1-1.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–0 10.3%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 9.8%

#5 3–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KI Klaksvik2.1

HB Torshavn1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KI KLAKSVIK · PPG 2.12

HB TORSHAVN · PPG 1.67

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.13 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

KI Klaksvik (H) 53.9%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -17.5%

Draw 22.8%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -2.5%

HB Torshavn (A) 23.3%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +6.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

KI Klaksvik face HB Torshavn in FaroeIslands - Premier League on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KI Klaksvik a 54% chance, the draw 23% and HB Torshavn 23%, so KI Klaksvik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for KI Klaksvik and 1.0 for HB Torshavn (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KI Klaksvik are averaging 2.12 points per game versus 1.67 for HB Torshavn. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +2.5%. This match finished 0-2.

KI Klaksvik vs HB Torshavn Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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