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07 Vestur vs B36 Torshavn Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 16:15

07 Vestur

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

B36 Torshavn

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.3% vs bookmaker-implied 58.1% — a real, if thin, edge.

+3.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-19.3%0-28.7%0-35.5%0-4+3.9%1 1-05.6%1-110.5%1-29.8%1-36.2%1-4+4.4%2 2-03.1%2-15.9%2-25.5%2-33.5%2-4+2.5%3 3-01.2%3-12.2%3-22.1%3-31.3%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.8%4+-20.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.4% 17.4% 5.75 +80.5%

Draw 23.1% 24.4% 4.10 -3.2%

Away win 45.5% 69.4% 1.44 -34.5%

Over 2.5 59.9% 63.3% 1.58 -5.4%

Over 3.5 36.6% 41.2% 2.43 -11.1%

BTTS 60.3% 58.1% 1.72 +3.7%

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% 68.0% 1.47 -20.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 82%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob60.3%

A 46% / xG 1.1-1.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 1–2 9.8%

#3 0–2 8.7%

#4 0–1 9.3%

#5 0–0 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

07 Vestur1.1

B36 Torshavn1.9

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.9% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

07 VESTUR · PPG 1.00

B36 TORSHAVN · PPG 1.44

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.75 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

07 Vestur (H) 31.4%

ODDS 5.75 · IMPLIED 17.4% EV +80.5%

Draw 23.1%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -3.2%

B36 Torshavn (A) 45.5%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -34.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

07 Vestur face B36 Torshavn in FaroeIslands - Premier League on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives 07 Vestur a 31% chance, the draw 23% and B36 Torshavn 46%, so B36 Torshavn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for 07 Vestur and 1.9 for B36 Torshavn (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, 07 Vestur are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.44 for B36 Torshavn. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +3.7%.

07 Vestur vs B36 Torshavn Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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