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Vikingur Gota vs B68 Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Matchday 18 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 14:00

Vikingur Gota

PPG 1.75 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

B68

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.8% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-12.7%0-21.0%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.0%1-16.9%1-22.6%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.7%2-18.9%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.1%3-17.7%3-23.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-012.2%4+-19.4%4+-23.6%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.5% 80.0% 1.25 -19.4%

Draw 16.1% 20.0% 5.00 -11.7%

Away win 19.4% 10.0% 10.00 +56.4%

Over 2.5 63.8% 71.4% 1.40 -10.7%

Over 3.5 42.9% 51.3% 1.95 -16.3%

BTTS 54.6% 58.8% 1.70 -7.2%

Home O1.5 63.0% 80.0% 1.25 -21.3%

Away O1.5 17.4% 25.0% 4.00 -18.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 82%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob54.6%

H 64% / xG 2.6-0.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.7%

#2 3–0 10.1%

#3 2–1✓ 8.9%

#4 1–0 9.0%

#5 1–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vikingur Gota2.6

B680.8

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.8% · O3.5 PROB 42.9%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKINGUR GOTA · PPG 1.75

B68 · PPG 0.50

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.83 for Home, form 1.75 vs 0.50 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Vikingur Gota (H) 64.5%

ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -19.4%

Draw 16.1%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -11.7%

B68 (A) 19.4%

ODDS 10.00 · IMPLIED 10.0% EV +56.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vikingur Gota face B68 in FaroeIslands - Premier League on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vikingur Gota a 65% chance, the draw 16% and B68 19%, so Vikingur Gota are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Vikingur Gota and 0.8 for B68 (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vikingur Gota are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.50 for B68. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +3.2%. This match finished 2-1.

Vikingur Gota vs B68 Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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