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HB Torshavn vs B68 Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 14:00

HB Torshavn

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

B68

PPG 0.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 68.1% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-12.2%0-21.0%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.8%1-16.2%1-22.9%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.5%2-18.7%2-24.0%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.9%3-18.2%3-23.8%3-31.2%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-012.3%4+-111.3%4+-25.2%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.1% 75.2% 1.33 -9.4%

Draw 16.7% 21.1% 4.75 -12.4%

Away win 15.2% 14.8% 6.75 +1.6%

Over 2.5 64.3% 70.4% 1.42 -8.7%

Over 3.5 42.6% 49.0% 2.04 -13.1%

BTTS 54.5% 59.9% 1.67 -9.0%

Home O1.5 66.6% — — —

Away O1.5 25.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 82%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.5%

H 68% / xG 2.8-0.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.5%

#2 3–0 8.9%

#3 2–1 8.7%

#4 3–1 8.2%

#5 1–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

HB Torshavn2.8

B680.9

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.3% · O3.5 PROB 42.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HB TORSHAVN · PPG 1.50

B68 · PPG 0.44

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.88 for Home, form 1.50 vs 0.44 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

HB Torshavn (H) 68.1%

ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -9.4%

Draw 16.7%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -12.4%

B68 (A) 15.2%

ODDS 6.75 · IMPLIED 14.8% EV +1.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

HB Torshavn face B68 in FaroeIslands - Premier League on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HB Torshavn a 68% chance, the draw 17% and B68 15%, so HB Torshavn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for HB Torshavn and 0.9 for B68 (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HB Torshavn are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.44 for B68.

HB Torshavn vs B68 Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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