Today / FaroeIslands - Premier League / AB vs Skála

AB vs Skála Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Regular Season - 17 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 14:00

AB logo
AB
PPG 1.62 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Skála logo
Skála
PPG 0.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-16.8%0-23.3%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.8%1-111.5%1-25.6%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.0%2-19.7%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.6%3-15.4%3-22.6%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-13.4%4+-21.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 52.8% 44.4% 2.25 +18.8%
Draw 23.9% 29.9% 3.35 -12.0%
Away win 23.2% 36.4% 2.75 -21.7%
Over 2.5 53.4% 58.8% 1.70 -9.2%
Over 3.5 32.2% 36.4% 2.75 -11.5%
BTTS 55.4% 64.5% 1.55 -14.1%
Home O1.5 49.4% 50.0% 2.00 -1.2%
Away O1.5 28.3% 44.4% 2.25 -21.8%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.4%

H 53% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%
#2 1–0 11.8%
#3 2–0 10.0%
#4 2–1 9.7%
#5 0–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

AB1.7
Skála1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

AB · PPG 1.62

SKÁLA · PPG 0.43

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.71 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

AB (H) 52.8%
ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +18.8%
Draw 23.9%
ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -12.0%
Skála (A) 23.2%
ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -21.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

AB face Skála in FaroeIslands - Premier League on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AB a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Skála 23%, so AB are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for AB and 1.0 for Skála (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AB are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 0.43 for Skála. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +4.3%.

PredictVantage

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