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07 Vestur vs EB / Streymur Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Matchday 18 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 17:30

07 Vestur

PPG 0.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

EB / Streymur

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-111.2%0-28.8%0-34.6%0-4+2.6%1 1-07.6%1-112.0%1-29.4%1-35.0%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.1%2-16.4%2-25.0%2-32.7%2-4+1.5%3 3-01.4%3-12.3%3-21.8%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.6% 42.9% 2.33 -28.7%

Draw 24.7% 28.6% 3.50 -8.1%

Away win 44.7% 38.5% 2.60 +16.2%

Over 2.5 53.5% 58.8% 1.70 -9.0%

Over 3.5 34.8% 36.4% 2.75 -4.3%

BTTS 54.6% 64.5% 1.55 -15.4%

Home O1.5 32.1% 48.8% 2.05 -34.2%

Away O1.5 48.2% 45.5% 2.20 +6.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob54.6%

A 45% / xG 1.1-1.6 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 0–1 11.2%

#4 0–0 7.1%

#5 0–2 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

07 Vestur1.1

EB / Streymur1.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 34.8%

Form & verdict PPG

07 VESTUR · PPG 0.75

EB / STREYMUR · PPG 1.43

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.51 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

07 Vestur (H) 30.6%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV -28.7%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -8.1%

EB / Streymur (A) 44.7%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV +16.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

07 Vestur face EB / Streymur in FaroeIslands - Premier League on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives 07 Vestur a 31% chance, the draw 25% and EB / Streymur 45%, so EB / Streymur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for 07 Vestur and 1.6 for EB / Streymur (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, 07 Vestur are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.43 for EB / Streymur. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +22.4%.

07 Vestur vs EB / Streymur Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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