Today / Malawi - Super League / Dedza Dynamos vs Creck

Dedza Dynamos vs Creck Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Matchday 13 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 12:30

Dedza Dynamos

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Creck

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.0%0-111.1%0-23.8%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.3%1-112.6%1-24.4%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.4%2-17.2%2-22.5%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.0%3-12.7%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.0%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% — — —

Draw 30.3% — — —

Away win 23.6% — — —

Over 2.5 38.8% — — —

Over 3.5 21.1% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.7%

H 46% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.0%

#2 1–0 18.3%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 2–0 10.4%

#5 0–1 11.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dedza Dynamos1.1

Creck0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.8% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DEDZA DYNAMOS · PPG 1.17

CRECK · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.45, combined xG 1.83 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dedza Dynamos (H) 46.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Creck (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dedza Dynamos face Creck in Malawi - Super League on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dedza Dynamos a 46% chance, the draw 30% and Creck 24%, so Dedza Dynamos are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Dedza Dynamos and 0.7 for Creck (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dedza Dynamos are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.83 for Creck.

Dedza Dynamos vs Creck Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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