Today / Malawi - Super League / Blue Eagles vs CIVO United

Blue Eagles vs CIVO United Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Matchday 13 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 12:30

Blue Eagles

PPG 2.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

CIVO United

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.49 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-14.1%0-20.9%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-018.5%1-17.8%1-21.7%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.7%2-17.5%2-21.6%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-011.3%3-14.8%3-21.0%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-08.4%4+-13.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.1% — — —

Draw 21.4% — — —

Away win 14.4% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 54.6% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob44.6%

H 64% / xG 1.9-0.4 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 17.7%

#2 1–0 18.5%

#3 3–0 11.3%

#4 0–0 9.7%

#5 1–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Blue Eagles1.9

CIVO United0.4

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BLUE EAGLES · PPG 2.67

CIVO UNITED · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.49 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Blue Eagles (H) 64.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

CIVO United (A) 14.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Blue Eagles face CIVO United in Malawi - Super League on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Blue Eagles a 64% chance, the draw 21% and CIVO United 14%, so Blue Eagles are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Blue Eagles and 0.4 for CIVO United (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Blue Eagles are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 1.00 for CIVO United.

Blue Eagles vs CIVO United Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Malawi - Super League Predictions