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MAFCO vs Masters FC Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Matchday 13 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 12:30

MAFCO

PPG 1.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Masters FC

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.69 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-18.3%0-23.2%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.7%1-112.1%1-24.6%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.5%2-18.8%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.6%3-14.3%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-12.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.9% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 21.7% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 26.9% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 45.1% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.7%

H 52% / xG 1.5-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.7%

#2 1–1 12.1%

#3 0–0 10.8%

#4 2–0 11.5%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

MAFCO1.5

Masters FC0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 26.9%

Form & verdict PPG

MAFCO · PPG 1.83

MASTERS FC · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.69 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

MAFCO (H) 51.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Masters FC (A) 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

MAFCO face Masters FC in Malawi - Super League on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives MAFCO a 52% chance, the draw 26% and Masters FC 22%, so MAFCO are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for MAFCO and 0.8 for Masters FC (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, MAFCO are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 0.83 for Masters FC.

MAFCO vs Masters FC Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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