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Masters FC vs CIVO United Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Matchday 12 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 12:30

Masters FC

PPG 2.40 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

CIVO United

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.16 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.2%0-15.7%0-21.4%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-019.9%1-19.4%1-22.2%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.2%2-17.7%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-08.9%3-14.2%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-05.2%4+-12.5%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.7% — — —

Draw 24.1% — — —

Away win 16.2% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 25.5% — — —

BTTS 45.5% — — —

Home O1.5 47.5% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob45.5%

H 60% / xG 1.6-0.5 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 19.9%

#2 2–0 16.2%

#3 0–0 12.2%

#4 1–1 9.4%

#5 3–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Masters FC1.6

CIVO United0.5

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 25.5%

Form & verdict PPG

MASTERS FC · PPG 2.40

CIVO UNITED · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.16 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Masters FC (H) 59.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

CIVO United (A) 16.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Masters FC face CIVO United in Malawi - Super League on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Masters FC a 60% chance, the draw 24% and CIVO United 16%, so Masters FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Masters FC and 0.5 for CIVO United (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Masters FC are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 1.20 for CIVO United. This match finished 1-0.

Masters FC vs CIVO United Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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