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Forward vs Syrianska FC Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand · Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 11:00

Forward

PPG 2.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Syrianska FC

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.22 for Home, form 2.29 vs 0.50 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-11.6%0-20.7%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.5%1-15.0%1-22.3%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.6%2-17.8%2-23.6%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.0%3-18.2%3-23.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-015.3%4+-114.0%4+-26.4%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.4% 59.5% 1.68 +16.6%

Draw 16.8% 27.8% 3.60 -23.7%

Away win 13.8% 26.3% 3.80 -28.5%

Over 2.5 67.4% 68.0% 1.47 -0.9%

Over 3.5 47.2% 44.4% 2.25 +6.2%

BTTS 54.8% — — —

Home O1.5 80.3% — — —

Away O1.5 24.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -19.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 71%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.8%

H 69% / xG 3.1-0.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 9.0%

#2 2–0 8.6%

#3 3–1 8.2%

#4 2–1 7.8%

#5 4–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Forward3.1

Syrianska FC0.9

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FORWARD · PPG 2.29

SYRIANSKA FC · PPG 0.50

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.22 for Home, form 2.29 vs 0.50 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Forward (H) 69.4%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV +16.6%

Draw 16.8%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -23.7%

Syrianska FC (A) 13.8%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -28.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Forward face Syrianska FC in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Forward a 69% chance, the draw 17% and Syrianska FC 14%, so Forward are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Forward and 0.9 for Syrianska FC (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Forward are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 0.50 for Syrianska FC. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +6.2%.

Forward vs Syrianska FC Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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