Today / Canada - Premier League / Pacific FC vs York United

Pacific FC vs York United Prediction— Canada - Premier League

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 21:00

Pacific FC

PPG 0.12 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

York United

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 62.9% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-15.7%0-24.3%0-32.1%0-4+1.1%1 1-06.7%1-110.1%1-27.6%1-33.8%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.9%2-18.9%2-26.7%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-03.5%3-15.3%3-24.0%3-32.0%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.5%4+-22.6%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.9% 42.7% 2.34 +14.4%

Draw 22.4% 28.6% 3.50 -13.0%

Away win 28.7% 37.6% 2.66 -14.2%

Over 2.5 63.6% 62.5% 1.60 +1.8%

Over 3.5 41.0% 40.8% 2.45 +0.4%

BTTS 62.9% 69.0% 1.45 -8.8%

Home O1.5 49.2% 51.3% 1.95 -4.1%

Away O1.5 47.6% 47.6% 2.10 -0.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 14.3%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.9%

H 49% / xG 1.8-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 10.1%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 2–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pacific FC1.8

York United1.5

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 41.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PACIFIC FC · PPG 0.12

YORK UNITED · PPG 0.86

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.26 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Pacific FC (H) 48.9%

ODDS 2.34 · IMPLIED 42.7% EV +14.4%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -13.0%

York United (A) 28.7%

ODDS 2.66 · IMPLIED 37.6% EV -14.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pacific FC face York United in Canada - Premier League on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pacific FC a 49% chance, the draw 22% and York United 29%, so Pacific FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Pacific FC and 1.5 for York United (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pacific FC are averaging 0.12 points per game versus 0.86 for York United. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +1.8%. This match finished 1-1.

Pacific FC vs York United Prediction— Canada - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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