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General Velásquez vs Trasandino Prediction— Chile - Segunda División

Final ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 19:00

General Velásquez

PPG 1.67 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Trasandino

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-111.3%0-26.5%0-32.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.5%1-113.2%1-27.6%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.7%2-17.7%2-24.4%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.6%3-13.0%3-21.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.2% 41.7% 2.40 -3.5%

Draw 27.5% 30.3% 3.30 -5.5%

Away win 32.3% 37.7% 2.65 -14.4%

Over 2.5 50.0% 51.3% 1.95 -2.5%

Over 3.5 28.7% 29.0% 3.45 -0.6%

BTTS 52.3% 57.8% 1.73 -9.5%

Home O1.5 35.0% 43.5% 2.30 -19.5%

Away O1.5 36.4% 40.0% 2.50 -9.0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.3%

H 40% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0✓ 9.9%

#3 1–0 11.5%

#4 0–1 11.3%

#5 2–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

General Velásquez1.2

Trasandino1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GENERAL VELÁSQUEZ · PPG 1.67

TRASANDINO · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.02, combined xG 2.32 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

General Velásquez (H) 40.2%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -3.5%

Draw 27.5%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -5.5%

Trasandino (A) 32.3%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -14.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

General Velásquez face Trasandino in Chile - Segunda División on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives General Velásquez a 40% chance, the draw 28% and Trasandino 32%, so General Velásquez are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for General Velásquez and 1.1 for Trasandino (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, General Velásquez are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.33 for Trasandino. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +6.7%. This match finished 0-0.

General Velásquez vs Trasandino Prediction— Chile - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

More Chile - Segunda División Predictions