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Trasandino vs General Velásquez Prediction— Chile - Segunda División

Final ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 20:30

Trasandino

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

General Velásquez

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.72 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-17.6%0-23.2%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-014.2%1-111.9%1-25.0%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.1%2-19.3%2-23.9%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.8%3-14.8%3-22.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-12.7%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.7% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 23.7% — — —

Over 2.5 51.4% — — —

Over 3.5 29.7% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 46.4% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 52% / xG 1.6-0.8 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 1–0 14.2%

#3 2–0 11.1%

#4 0–0 9.1%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Trasandino1.6

General Velásquez0.8

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.4% · O3.5 PROB 29.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TRASANDINO · PPG 1.67

GENERAL VELÁSQUEZ · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.72 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Trasandino (H) 51.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

General Velásquez (A) 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Trasandino face General Velásquez in Chile - Segunda División on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trasandino a 52% chance, the draw 25% and General Velásquez 24%, so Trasandino are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Trasandino and 0.8 for General Velásquez (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trasandino are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.00 for General Velásquez.

Trasandino vs General Velásquez Prediction— Chile - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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