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OH Leuven vs Club Brugge KV Prediction— Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 18:45

OH Leuven

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Club Brugge KV

PPG 1.76 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-110.3%0-29.5%0-35.9%0-4+4.1%1 1-05.8%1-110.7%1-29.9%1-36.1%1-4+4.3%2 2-03.0%2-15.6%2-25.1%2-33.2%2-4+2.2%3 3-01.0%3-11.9%3-21.8%3-31.1%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.1% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 54.7% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.1% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 86%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob54.5%

A 55% / xG 1.0-1.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 1–2 9.9%

#3 0–2 9.5%

#4 0–1 10.3%

#5 0–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

OH Leuven1.0

Club Brugge KV1.9

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.1%

Form & verdict PPG

OH LEUVEN · PPG 1.17

CLUB BRUGGE KV · PPG 1.76

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.81 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

OH Leuven (H) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Club Brugge KV (A) 54.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

OH Leuven face Club Brugge KV in Belgium - Jupiler Pro League on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives OH Leuven a 23% chance, the draw 22% and Club Brugge KV 55%, so Club Brugge KV are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for OH Leuven and 1.9 for Club Brugge KV (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, OH Leuven are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.76 for Club Brugge KV.

OH Leuven vs Club Brugge KV Prediction— Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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