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Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière Prediction— Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

Matchday 1 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 16:30

Anderlecht

PPG 1.66 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

RAAL La Louvière

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 54.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-16.9%0-23.7%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.6%1-111.5%1-26.3%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.8%2-19.6%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.9%3-15.4%3-22.9%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-13.3%4+-21.8%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.6% 58.8% 1.70 -14.0%

Draw 25.0% 27.0% 3.70 -4.5%

Away win 24.4% 20.8% 4.80 +10.3%

Over 2.5 53.5% 51.8% 1.93 +3.3%

Over 3.5 32.3% 30.3% 3.30 +6.6%

BTTS 54.6% 54.6% 1.83 -0.1%

Home O1.5 49.0% 55.6% 1.80 -11.8%

Away O1.5 35.4% 27.0% 3.70 +31.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 86%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.6%

H 51% / xG 1.7-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1✓ 9.6%

#3 2–0 8.8%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 0–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Anderlecht1.7

RAAL La Louvière1.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ANDERLECHT · PPG 1.66

RAAL LA LOUVIÈRE · PPG 1.06

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Anderlecht (H) 50.6%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -14.0%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -4.5%

RAAL La Louvière (A) 24.4%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +10.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Anderlecht face RAAL La Louvière in Belgium - Jupiler Pro League on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Anderlecht a 51% chance, the draw 25% and RAAL La Louvière 24%, so Anderlecht are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Anderlecht and 1.1 for RAAL La Louvière (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Anderlecht are averaging 1.66 points per game versus 1.06 for RAAL La Louvière. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +31.0%. This match finished 2-1.

Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière Prediction— Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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