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Petrocub vs Politehnica UTM Prediction— Moldova - Super Liga

Regular Season - 6 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 17:00

Petrocub

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Politehnica UTM

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-13.1%0-21.9%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-06.3%1-17.6%1-24.6%1-31.9%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.7%2-19.3%2-25.7%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-06.3%3-17.6%3-24.6%3-31.9%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-18.4%4+-25.1%4+-32.0%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.9% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 22.2% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.8% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 60.9% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 0%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 100%

Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob63.5%

H 56% / xG 2.4-1.2 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.3%

#2 1–1 7.6%

#3 2–0 7.7%

#4 3–1 7.6%

#5 3–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Petrocub2.4

Politehnica UTM1.2

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

PETROCUB · PPG 2.00

POLITEHNICA UTM · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.24 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Petrocub (H) 55.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Politehnica UTM (A) 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Petrocub face Politehnica UTM in Moldova - Super Liga on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Petrocub a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Politehnica UTM 22%, so Petrocub are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Petrocub and 1.2 for Politehnica UTM (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Petrocub are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Politehnica UTM.

Petrocub vs Politehnica UTM Prediction— Moldova - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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