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Milsami Orhei vs Sireți Prediction— Moldova - Super Liga

Regular Season - 6 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 17:00

Milsami Orhei logo
Milsami Orhei
PPG 1.33 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Sireți logo
Sireți
PPG 0.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-022.9%0-110.5%0-22.4%0-30.4%0-4+0.0%1 1-023.2%1-110.7%1-22.4%1-30.4%1-4+0.0%2 2-011.8%2-15.4%2-21.2%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-04.0%3-11.8%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 48.4%
Draw 30.4%
Away win 21.1%
Over 2.5 33.6%
Over 3.5 14.9%
BTTS 44.5%
Home O1.5 32.6%
Away O1.5 16.1%

League track record

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 0%
O2.5 50%
BTTS 100%
Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob44.5%

H 48% / xG 1.0-0.5 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 22.9%
#2 1–0 23.2%
#3 1–1 10.7%
#4 2–0 11.8%
#5 0–1 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Milsami Orhei1.0
Sireți0.5

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.6% · O3.5 PROB 14.9%

Form & verdict PPG

MILSAMI ORHEI · PPG 1.33

SIREȚI · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.56 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Milsami Orhei (H) 48.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 30.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Sireți (A) 21.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Milsami Orhei face Sireți in Moldova - Super Liga on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Milsami Orhei a 48% chance, the draw 30% and Sireți 21%, so Milsami Orhei are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Milsami Orhei and 0.5 for Sireți (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Milsami Orhei are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.33 for Sireți.

PredictVantage

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