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Dacia-Buiucani vs Zimbru Prediction— Moldova - Super Liga

Regular Season - 6 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 17:00

Dacia-Buiucani

PPG 1.09 · HOME

UPCOMING

Zimbru

PPG 1.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-16.5%0-25.9%0-33.6%0-4+2.4%1 1-05.4%1-19.8%1-28.9%1-35.4%1-4+3.7%2 2-04.1%2-17.5%2-26.8%2-34.1%2-4+2.8%3 3-02.1%3-13.8%3-23.4%3-32.1%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.0%4+-21.8%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.0% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 41.1% — — —

Over 2.5 63.6% — — —

Over 3.5 40.2% — — —

BTTS 62.1% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 48.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 0%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 100%

Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob62.1%

A 41% / xG 1.5-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 0–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dacia-Buiucani1.5

Zimbru1.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DACIA-BUIUCANI · PPG 1.09

ZIMBRU · PPG 1.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.30 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dacia-Buiucani (H) 36.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zimbru (A) 41.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dacia-Buiucani face Zimbru in Moldova - Super Liga on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dacia-Buiucani a 36% chance, the draw 23% and Zimbru 41%, so Zimbru are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Dacia-Buiucani and 1.8 for Zimbru (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dacia-Buiucani are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 1.54 for Zimbru.

Dacia-Buiucani vs Zimbru Prediction— Moldova - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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