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Sireți vs CSF Bălți Prediction— Moldova - Super Liga

Matchday 7 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 17:00

Sireți

PPG 1.44 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

CSF Bălți

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-16.5%0-23.3%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-011.0%1-111.3%1-25.8%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.5%2-19.8%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.5%3-15.6%3-22.9%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-13.6%4+-21.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 23.0% — — —

Over 2.5 51.9% — — —

Over 3.5 30.8% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 32.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 42%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 25%

ROI -47.4%

Bet Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob53.1%

H 52% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.3%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.5%

#4 1–0 11.0%

#5 0–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sireți1.7

CSF Bălți1.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.9% · O3.5 PROB 30.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SIREȚI · PPG 1.44

CSF BĂLȚI · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.71 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sireți (H) 52.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

CSF Bălți (A) 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sireți face CSF Bălți in Moldova - Super Liga on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sireți a 52% chance, the draw 25% and CSF Bălți 23%, so Sireți are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Sireți and 1.0 for CSF Bălți (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sireți are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.75 for CSF Bălți. This match finished 1-1.

Sireți vs CSF Bălți Prediction— Moldova - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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