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Kooteepee vs KäPa Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 17:00

Kooteepee

PPG 2.11 · HOME

UPCOMING

KäPa

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 67.7% vs bookmaker-implied 82.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-12.7%0-21.2%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.9%1-17.0%1-23.1%1-30.9%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.3%2-19.2%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.9%3-18.0%3-23.5%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-010.9%4+-19.7%4+-24.3%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.7% 82.0% 1.22 -17.4%

Draw 16.8% 18.2% 5.50 -4.6%

Away win 15.5% 9.8% 10.25 +35.3%

Over 2.5 64.3% 73.5% 1.36 -12.6%

Over 3.5 42.6% 51.8% 1.93 -17.8%

BTTS 54.5% 58.8% 1.70 -7.3%

Home O1.5 63.4% 82.0% 1.22 -22.7%

Away O1.5 23.6% 25.0% 4.00 -3.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -15.0%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.5%

H 68% / xG 2.6-0.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.3%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 3–0 8.9%

#4 1–1 7.0%

#5 3–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kooteepee2.6

KäPa0.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.3% · O3.5 PROB 42.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KOOTEEPEE · PPG 2.11

KÄPA · PPG 0.78

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.71 for Home, form 2.11 vs 0.78 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Kooteepee (H) 67.7%

ODDS 1.22 · IMPLIED 82.0% EV -17.4%

Draw 16.8%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV -4.6%

KäPa (A) 15.5%

ODDS 10.25 · IMPLIED 9.8% EV +35.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kooteepee face KäPa in Finland - Ykkosliga on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kooteepee a 68% chance, the draw 17% and KäPa 16%, so Kooteepee are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Kooteepee and 0.9 for KäPa (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kooteepee are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 0.78 for KäPa. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +37.2%.

Kooteepee vs KäPa Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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