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Kooteepee vs SJK Akatemia Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Group Stage ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 15:30

Kooteepee

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

SJK Akatemia

PPG 0.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 63.2% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-14.0%0-21.0%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-015.4%1-18.2%1-22.2%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.9%2-18.4%2-22.2%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.0%3-15.8%3-21.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-09.1%4+-14.8%4+-21.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.2% 78.1% 1.28 -19.1%

Draw 21.4% 20.0% 5.00 +4.2%

Away win 15.4% 11.9% 8.40 +17.6%

Over 2.5 53.4% 65.4% 1.53 -18.3%

Over 3.5 32.2% 42.6% 2.35 -24.3%

BTTS 48.7% 54.1% 1.85 -9.9%

Home O1.5 60.1% 75.2% 1.33 -20.1%

Away O1.5 17.4% 22.2% 4.50 -13.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob48.7%

H 63% / xG 2.1-0.5 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.9%

#2 1–0 15.4%

#3 3–0 11.0%

#4 1–1 8.2%

#5 0–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kooteepee2.1

SJK Akatemia0.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KOOTEEPEE · PPG 2.00

SJK AKATEMIA · PPG 0.38

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.53 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.38 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Kooteepee (H) 63.2%

ODDS 1.28 · IMPLIED 78.1% EV -19.1%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +4.2%

SJK Akatemia (A) 15.4%

ODDS 8.40 · IMPLIED 11.9% EV +17.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kooteepee face SJK Akatemia in Finland - Ykkosliga on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kooteepee a 63% chance, the draw 21% and SJK Akatemia 15%, so Kooteepee are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Kooteepee and 0.5 for SJK Akatemia (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kooteepee are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.38 for SJK Akatemia.

Kooteepee vs SJK Akatemia Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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