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JIPPO vs SJK Akatemia Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 13:00

JIPPO

PPG 1.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

SJK Akatemia

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 61.2% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.5%0-15.3%0-21.1%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-021.7%1-18.6%1-21.7%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.4%2-16.9%2-21.4%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-09.3%3-13.7%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-12.1%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.2% 71.4% 1.40 -14.3%

Draw 23.6% 22.7% 4.40 +2.3%

Away win 15.2% 16.1% 6.20 -3.5%

Over 2.5 42.7% 58.8% 1.70 -27.4%

Over 3.5 21.1% 36.4% 2.75 -25.2%

BTTS 44.6% 54.1% 1.85 -17.5%

Home O1.5 47.2% 66.7% 1.50 -29.2%

Away O1.5 11.1% 23.8% 4.20 -32.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -15.0%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob44.6%

H 61% / xG 1.6-0.4 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 21.7%

#2 2–0 17.4%

#3 0–0 13.5%

#4 1–1 8.6%

#5 3–0 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

JIPPO1.6

SJK Akatemia0.4

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

JIPPO · PPG 1.78

SJK AKATEMIA · PPG 0.33

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.21 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

JIPPO (H) 61.2%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -14.3%

Draw 23.6%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +2.3%

SJK Akatemia (A) 15.2%

ODDS 6.20 · IMPLIED 16.1% EV -3.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

JIPPO face SJK Akatemia in Finland - Ykkosliga on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives JIPPO a 61% chance, the draw 24% and SJK Akatemia 15%, so JIPPO are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for JIPPO and 0.4 for SJK Akatemia (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, JIPPO are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 0.33 for SJK Akatemia.

JIPPO vs SJK Akatemia Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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