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EIF vs Klubi-04 Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Group Stage ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 15:30

EIF

PPG 1.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Klubi-04

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-17.5%0-24.2%0-31.6%0-4+0.6%1 1-010.7%1-111.9%1-26.6%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.4%2-19.4%2-25.2%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.4%3-14.9%3-22.8%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-12.8%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.4% 52.4% 1.91 -11.4%

Draw 25.1% 26.7% 3.75 -3.5%

Away win 28.5% 31.3% 3.20 -5.3%

Over 2.5 53.4% 64.5% 1.55 -17.2%

Over 3.5 31.9% 41.7% 2.40 -23.4%

BTTS 55.4% 67.6% 1.48 -18.0%

Home O1.5 48.6% 58.8% 1.70 -17.4%

Away O1.5 36.5% 43.5% 2.30 -16.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.4%

H 46% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–0 10.7%

#4 0–0 6.8%

#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

EIF1.6

Klubi-041.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 31.9%

Form & verdict PPG

EIF · PPG 1.88

KLUBI-04 · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.46 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

EIF (H) 46.4%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -11.4%

Draw 25.1%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -3.5%

Klubi-04 (A) 28.5%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -5.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

EIF face Klubi-04 in Finland - Ykkosliga on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives EIF a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Klubi-04 28%, so EIF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for EIF and 1.1 for Klubi-04 (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, EIF are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 0.88 for Klubi-04. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +7.0%.

EIF vs Klubi-04 Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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