Today / Finland - Ykkosliga / PK-35 vs Klubi-04

PK-35 vs Klubi-04 Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 15:00

PK-35

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Klubi-04

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 61.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-15.3%0-21.7%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-015.6%1-19.8%1-23.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.4%2-19.0%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.8%3-15.5%3-21.7%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-06.2%4+-13.9%4+-21.2%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.4% 61.0% 1.64 -9.1%

Draw 22.5% 27.0% 3.70 -10.1%

Away win 22.1% 21.7% 4.60 +1.0%

Over 2.5 50.2% 58.8% 1.70 -14.7%

Over 3.5 29.7% 37.0% 2.70 -11.9%

BTTS 48.3% 59.9% 1.67 -19.3%

Home O1.5 54.3% 60.6% 1.65 -10.4%

Away O1.5 17.2% 31.3% 3.20 -27.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -15.0%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.3%

H 55% / xG 1.8-0.6 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.4%

#2 1–0 15.6%

#3 1–1 9.8%

#4 0–0 8.5%

#5 2–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

PK-351.8

Klubi-040.6

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 29.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PK-35 · PPG 1.67

KLUBI-04 · PPG 0.78

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.22 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

PK-35 (H) 55.4%

ODDS 1.64 · IMPLIED 61.0% EV -9.1%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -10.1%

Klubi-04 (A) 22.1%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +1.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

PK-35 face Klubi-04 in Finland - Ykkosliga on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PK-35 a 55% chance, the draw 23% and Klubi-04 22%, so PK-35 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for PK-35 and 0.6 for Klubi-04 (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PK-35 are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.78 for Klubi-04.

PK-35 vs Klubi-04 Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Ykkosliga Predictions