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Klubi-04 vs Kooteepee Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Group Stage ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 12:00

Klubi-04

PPG 0.62 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Kooteepee

PPG 2.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.8% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.7%0-114.7%0-210.1%0-34.6%0-4+2.2%1 1-09.2%1-112.6%1-28.7%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-04.0%2-15.4%2-23.7%2-31.7%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.1%3-11.6%3-21.1%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.5% 22.2% 4.50 +11.6%

Draw 27.9% 24.4% 4.10 +8.6%

Away win 45.7% 63.7% 1.57 -28.2%

Over 2.5 50.3% 67.6% 1.48 -25.6%

Over 3.5 28.8% 45.5% 2.20 -22.0%

BTTS 52.8% 66.7% 1.50 -20.8%

Home O1.5 32.1% 37.0% 2.70 -13.3%

Away O1.5 43.7% 67.6% 1.48 -35.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -15.0%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.8%

A 46% / xG 0.9-1.4 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–1✓ 14.7%

#3 0–0 10.7%

#4 0–2 10.1%

#5 1–2 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Klubi-040.9

Kooteepee1.4

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

KLUBI-04 · PPG 0.62

KOOTEEPEE · PPG 2.12

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.52 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Klubi-04 (H) 26.5%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +11.6%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +8.6%

Kooteepee (A) 45.7%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -28.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Klubi-04 face Kooteepee in Finland - Ykkosliga on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Klubi-04 a 27% chance, the draw 28% and Kooteepee 46%, so Kooteepee are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Klubi-04 and 1.4 for Kooteepee (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Klubi-04 are averaging 0.62 points per game versus 2.12 for Kooteepee. This match finished 0-1.

Klubi-04 vs Kooteepee Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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