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Viimsi vs FCI Levadia II Prediction— Estonia - Esiliiga A

Matchday 23 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 16:00

Viimsi

PPG 1.56 · HOME

UPCOMING

FCI Levadia II

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.3% vs bookmaker-implied 72.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-16.4%0-24.0%0-31.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-08.8%1-111.0%1-26.9%1-32.9%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.6%2-19.5%2-25.9%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.3%3-15.4%3-23.4%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-13.4%4+-22.1%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% 66.7% 1.50 -33.6%

Draw 22.6% 24.4% 4.10 -4.4%

Away win 33.1% 22.7% 4.40 +45.6%

Over 2.5 59.5% 75.2% 1.33 -20.9%

Over 3.5 36.5% 52.9% 1.89 -31.0%

BTTS 60.3% 72.5% 1.38 -16.8%

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% 40.3% 2.48 -9.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.3%

H 44% / xG 1.7-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.6%

#4 1–0 8.8%

#5 1–2 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Viimsi1.7

FCI Levadia II1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VIIMSI · PPG 1.56

FCI LEVADIA II · PPG 1.33

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.47 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Viimsi (H) 44.3%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -33.6%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -4.4%

FCI Levadia II (A) 33.1%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +45.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Viimsi face FCI Levadia II in Estonia - Esiliiga A on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viimsi a 44% chance, the draw 23% and FCI Levadia II 33%, so Viimsi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Viimsi and 1.3 for FCI Levadia II (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viimsi are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.33 for FCI Levadia II. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +13.1%.

Viimsi vs FCI Levadia II Prediction— Estonia - Esiliiga A

Match Preview & Prediction

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