Today / Estonia - Esiliiga A / FCI Levadia II vs Elva
FCI Levadia II vs Elva Prediction— Estonia - Esiliiga A
Regular Season - 21 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 16:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 42% / xG 1.7-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%
Form & verdict
FCI LEVADIA II · PPG 1.50
ELVA · PPG 1.50
xG gap +0.07 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
FCI Levadia II face Elva in Estonia - Esiliiga A on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FCI Levadia II a 42% chance, the draw 23% and Elva 35%, so FCI Levadia II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for FCI Levadia II and 1.6 for Elva (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FCI Levadia II are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.50 for Elva.