Today / Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand / Gute vs Bollstanäs

Gute vs Bollstanäs Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand · Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 16:00

Gute

PPG 1.57 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bollstanäs

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-15.5%0-24.9%0-32.9%0-4+2.0%1 1-05.1%1-19.3%1-28.3%1-35.0%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.4%2-17.8%2-27.1%2-34.2%2-4+2.9%3 3-02.5%3-14.4%3-24.0%3-32.4%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.8%4+-22.5%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.4% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 37.9% — — —

Over 2.5 64.4% — — —

Over 3.5 42.6% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 47.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 2.1%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.3%

A 38% / xG 1.7-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 1–2 8.3%

#3 2–1 7.8%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 1–3 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gute1.7

Bollstanäs1.8

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.4% · O3.5 PROB 42.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GUTE · PPG 1.57

BOLLSTANÄS · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.10 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gute (H) 39.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bollstanäs (A) 37.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gute face Bollstanäs in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gute a 39% chance, the draw 23% and Bollstanäs 38%, so Gute are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Gute and 1.8 for Bollstanäs (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gute are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.50 for Bollstanäs.

Gute vs Bollstanäs Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand Predictions