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Franke vs Enskede Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand · Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 11:00

Franke

PPG 1.86 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Enskede

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.4% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-16.2%0-24.0%0-31.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-08.4%1-110.8%1-26.9%1-33.0%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.4%2-19.5%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.3%3-15.5%3-23.5%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-13.6%4+-22.3%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.8% 36.4% 2.75 +37.0%

Draw 24.1% 27.4% 3.65 -7.2%

Away win 26.2% 46.5% 2.15 -26.2%

Over 2.5 60.4% 62.5% 1.60 -3.4%

Over 3.5 36.8% 40.8% 2.45 -9.8%

BTTS 60.6% 66.7% 1.50 -9.1%

Home O1.5 49.2% 46.5% 2.15 +5.8%

Away O1.5 35.7% 54.1% 1.85 -34.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 2.1%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.6%

H 50% / xG 1.7-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0✓ 7.4%

#4 1–2 6.9%

#5 1–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Franke1.7

Enskede1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

FRANKE · PPG 1.86

ENSKEDE · PPG 1.00

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.47 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Franke (H) 49.8%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +37.0%

Draw 24.1%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -7.2%

Enskede (A) 26.2%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -26.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Franke face Enskede in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Franke a 50% chance, the draw 24% and Enskede 26%, so Franke are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Franke and 1.3 for Enskede (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Franke are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.00 for Enskede. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +13.3%. This match finished 2-0.

Franke vs Enskede Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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