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Angby vs Gute Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand · Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 13:00

Angby

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Gute

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.88 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-16.0%0-22.8%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.6%1-110.8%1-25.0%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.6%2-19.8%2-24.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.4%3-16.0%3-22.8%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-14.1%4+-21.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.1% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 21.0% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 50.2% — — —

Away O1.5 27.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 2.1%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.1%

H 56% / xG 1.8-0.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–0 10.6%

#3 1–0✓ 11.6%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Angby1.8

Gute0.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ANGBY · PPG 2.00

GUTE · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.88 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Angby (H) 56.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gute (A) 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Angby face Gute in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Angby a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Gute 21%, so Angby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Angby and 0.9 for Gute (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Angby are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.12 for Gute. This match finished 1-0.

Angby vs Gute Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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