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Falu BS vs Franke Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand · Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:00

Falu BS

PPG 2.12 · HOME

UPCOMING

Franke

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-15.8%0-23.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-09.8%1-110.7%1-25.9%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.0%2-19.9%2-25.4%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-05.5%3-16.1%3-23.3%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-14.2%4+-22.3%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.3% — — —

Draw 23.0% — — —

Away win 23.7% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 55.3% — — —

Home O1.5 54.5% — — —

Away O1.5 34.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 2.1%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.3%

H 53% / xG 1.8-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.0%

#4 1–0 9.8%

#5 0–0 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Falu BS1.8

Franke1.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

FALU BS · PPG 2.12

FRANKE · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.75 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Falu BS (H) 53.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Franke (A) 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Falu BS face Franke in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Falu BS a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Franke 24%, so Falu BS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Falu BS and 1.1 for Franke (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Falu BS are averaging 2.12 points per game versus 0.75 for Franke.

Falu BS vs Franke Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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