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Angby vs Kungsängen Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand · Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 11:00

Angby

PPG 2.12 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kungsängen

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 59.8% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-14.2%0-21.5%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-012.3%1-18.9%1-23.2%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-013.0%2-19.5%2-23.4%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.2%3-16.7%3-22.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-08.0%4+-15.8%4+-22.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.5% 54.1% 1.85 +8.2%

Draw 21.5% 26.3% 3.80 -11.0%

Away win 20.0% 29.4% 3.40 -19.2%

Over 2.5 54.7% 69.0% 1.45 -20.7%

Over 3.5 32.3% 46.5% 2.15 -30.6%

BTTS 53.1% 70.4% 1.42 -24.6%

Home O1.5 59.8% 63.7% 1.57 -6.1%

Away O1.5 17.2% 45.5% 2.20 -37.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 2.1%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob53.1%

H 58% / xG 2.1-0.7 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.0%

#2 1–0 12.3%

#3 1–1 8.9%

#4 2–1 9.5%

#5 3–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Angby2.1

Kungsängen0.7

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.7% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ANGBY · PPG 2.12

KUNGSÄNGEN · PPG 0.57

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.40 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Angby (H) 58.5%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV +8.2%

Draw 21.5%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -11.0%

Kungsängen (A) 20.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -19.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Angby face Kungsängen in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Angby a 59% chance, the draw 22% and Kungsängen 20%, so Angby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Angby and 0.7 for Kungsängen (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Angby are averaging 2.12 points per game versus 0.57 for Kungsängen.

Angby vs Kungsängen Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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