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Viggbyholms IK vs Skiljebo Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand · Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 11:00

Viggbyholms IK

PPG 0.57 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Skiljebo

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 66.2% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+7.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-19.7%0-211.5%0-39.1%0-4+9.5%1 1-03.3%1-18.0%1-29.5%1-37.5%1-4+7.8%2 2-01.4%2-13.3%2-23.9%2-33.1%2-4+3.2%3 3-00.4%3-10.9%3-21.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.2% 24.4% 4.10 -27.5%

Draw 20.6% 23.8% 4.20 -8.1%

Away win 66.2% 61.7% 1.62 +7.2%

Over 2.5 63.4% 64.5% 1.55 -1.7%

Over 3.5 39.5% 40.8% 2.45 -3.2%

BTTS 54.6% 63.7% 1.57 -14.3%

Home O1.5 32.1% 35.7% 2.80 -10.1%

Away O1.5 65.0% 64.5% 1.55 +0.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 2.1%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob54.6%

A 66% / xG 0.8-2.4 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.5%

#2 1–2✓ 9.5%

#3 1–1 8.0%

#4 0–3 9.1%

#5 0–1 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Viggbyholms IK0.8

Skiljebo2.4

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.4% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VIGGBYHOLMS IK · PPG 0.57

SKILJEBO · PPG 1.86

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.56 for Away, form 0.57 vs 1.86

Win probability 1X2

Viggbyholms IK (H) 13.2%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -27.5%

Draw 20.6%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -8.1%

Skiljebo (A) 66.2%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV +7.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Viggbyholms IK face Skiljebo in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viggbyholms IK a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Skiljebo 66%, so Skiljebo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Viggbyholms IK and 2.4 for Skiljebo (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viggbyholms IK are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 1.86 for Skiljebo. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +0.8%. This match finished 1-2.

Viggbyholms IK vs Skiljebo Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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