Today / Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand / Falu BS vs Sunnersta

Falu BS vs Sunnersta Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand · Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 14:00

Falu BS

PPG 2.43 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Sunnersta

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.30, combined xG 2.42 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.9%0-112.1%0-28.2%0-33.7%0-4+1.7%1 1-09.4%1-112.8%1-28.7%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.0%2-16.8%2-24.6%2-32.1%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.8%3-12.4%3-21.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.9% — — —

Draw 27.2% — — —

Away win 41.9% — — —

Over 2.5 50.3% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 2.1%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 19%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob53.1%

A 42% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 8.9%

#3 0–1 12.1%

#4 1–2 8.7%

#5 0–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Falu BS1.1

Sunnersta1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

FALU BS · PPG 2.43

SUNNERSTA · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.30, combined xG 2.42 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Falu BS (H) 30.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sunnersta (A) 41.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Falu BS face Sunnersta in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Falu BS a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Sunnersta 42%, so Sunnersta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Falu BS and 1.4 for Sunnersta (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Falu BS are averaging 2.43 points per game versus 2.00 for Sunnersta. This match finished 1-3.

Falu BS vs Sunnersta Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand Predictions