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MAFCO vs Blue Eagles Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Matchday 12 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 12:30

MAFCO

PPG 2.20 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Blue Eagles

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.49, combined xG 2.35 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-18.9%0-24.1%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-013.6%1-112.6%1-25.8%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.7%2-18.9%2-24.1%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.6%3-14.2%3-22.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.1%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.5% — — —

Draw 26.2% — — —

Away win 25.4% — — —

Over 2.5 50.3% — — —

Over 3.5 29.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 26.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.1%

H 48% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 13.6%

#3 0–0 9.6%

#4 2–0 9.7%

#5 2–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

MAFCO1.4

Blue Eagles0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 29.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MAFCO · PPG 2.20

BLUE EAGLES · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.49, combined xG 2.35 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

MAFCO (H) 48.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Blue Eagles (A) 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

MAFCO face Blue Eagles in Malawi - Super League on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives MAFCO a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Blue Eagles 25%, so MAFCO are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for MAFCO and 0.9 for Blue Eagles (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, MAFCO are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.20 for Blue Eagles. This match finished 0-1.

MAFCO vs Blue Eagles Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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